Group A · Group stage

Mexico vs South Africa

Jun 11, 2026, 7:00 PM · Estadio Azteca, Mexico City

Language

Win / Draw / Loss Probabilities

Fused model output with market-implied probabilities when available.

high confidence · 82%

Mexico67.6%

Model baseline 67.1%

Draw20.5%

Model baseline 20.3%

South Africa11.9%

Model baseline 12.6%

Third-party probability and odds inputs used by the fusion engine when a usable source is available.

Fused model viewMexico 67.6%Draw 20.5%South Africa 11.9%

Market-implied viewMexico 68.4%Draw 20.8%South Africa 10.8%

Polymarket

Fresh

Market-implied viewMexico 68.8%Draw 20.6%South Africa 10.6%

Polymarket outcome pricesMexico68.5%Draw20.5%South Africa10.5%

External odds

Fresh